Archive for February 4, 2012

CPEG Commentary on Settlement to End Foreclosure Probe

Authored by CPEG’s Bill Barclay, an expert on the housing crisis with 22 years of experience in the Financial Services Sector

According to press accounts, there will be a deal between the banks and the state Attorney Generals over housing/foreclosures, etc. A bubble in housing prices (driven by finance) got us into the Lesser Depression and it could get us out. But I don’t think this deal is it.

The banks are going to fork over $25 billion, plus access to refinancing by 300,000 homeowners now shut out, and perhaps some payments to 750,000 people who lost homes to foreclosure. This may sound like a lot of money – until you remember the scope of the problem.

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Commentary on the January 2012 BLS Jobs Report

The employment and unemployment statistics released this morning by the Bureau of Labor Statistics report an expansion in employment of almost 250,000 and a decline in the unemployment rate to 8.3%. Taking these numbers at face value, the media is already editorializing that the economy is bouncing back. Yet if we look more closely at the numbers we find that they are strongly influenced by the approach the BLS takes to seasonally adjusting data. January is a tricky month for statisticians. December often sees a run-up in the labor market followed by a drop in January. What the BLS is reporting is not an increase in employment, but a drop smaller than expected for this season.

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