Tag Archive for Jobs

Commentary on the January 2013 BLS Jobs Report

American employers added 157,000 jobs in January compared with (revised) 196,000 jobs in December. The number of unemployed, 12.3 million, is little changed while the unemployment rate edged upward from 7.8 to 7.9%. The disappointing increase in numbers of new jobs was generally attributed to the loss of public sector jobs at the state level, a large proportion of jobs lost being public school teachers. This is the direct result of state budget deficits, which were hit by a double whammy. The first was loss of tax income due to the economic downturn, the second the loss of federal funds due the austerity economics and “fiscal cliff” panic ruling national politics.

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Commentary on the December 2012 BLS Jobs Report

This time last year, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the last of the 2011 jobs report, CPEG warned that the slight improvement in December 2011 was still so inadequate that it would take six years to reach 2007 levels of employment. Now the BLS has released numbers for December 2012, and we have a sense of déjà vu as we note that the average monthly employment growth in 2012 is the same as that in 2011—about 153,000 per month. December’s employment growth missed expectations—ADP’s showed 215,000 new jobs in December. The economy added 155,000 jobs, leaving the unemployment rate unmoved since September at 7.8%. One year later, we are now five years away, if we continue at this rate of reducing unemployment, from pre-recession level of unemployment.

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CPEG’s Ron Baiman: Forget About “Right to Work” (without Paying), We Need “Right to Get Paid” (without Working) Laws!

Finally we’re starting to get serious about individual liberty by passing these new “Right to Work without Paying” (union dues or contract service fees) laws that brush aside those liberal elitist and academic arguments about “free riding” with their “prisoner’s dilemma” demonstrations of the limits of markets and individual choices and the benefits of binding social choices. I mean these people make the same kind of arguments about gun control, nuclear weapons and waste proliferation, global warming, aquifer depletion, excessive use of anti-biotics and over-fishing, and even urban planning, economic inequality, and sustainable macroeconomic prosperity, claiming that all these problems require binding social agreements. But surely personal liberty is more important than these debatable and abstract concerns, and I think it’s time that we really got serious about economic infringements on personal choices!

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Commentary on the November 2012 BLS Jobs Report

This morning the BLS reported 146,000 new jobs, a greater than expected number in light of the assumed impact of Sandy on employment. Although state level data is not yet available, the BLS indicated that preliminary findings showed relatively little impact from the storm. The report brings the 2012 YTD monthly average job creation to 151,000, just slightly above the November numbers and very similar to the 153,000/month average in 2011. The average levels of job creation over the past two years are sufficient to make some quite limited progress against the huge overhang of unemployed from the surge of job losses during the official beginning and end of the Great Recession. Apparently the “job creators” were not scared off by Obama’s reelection.

That is the good news. What else does the report tell us about the ongoing Lesser Depression?

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CPEG’s Ron Baiman on the Impending “Fiscal Cliff”: Washington has it Backwards.

The so-called “Fiscal Cliff” is Mostly Good, the Bad Part about it is that it would Reduce the Fiscal Deficit!

Why is it that just after an election where reducing the job deficit was universally acknowledged to be our absolute first priority, mainstream Washington has immediately pivoted to making reduction of the federal fiscal deficit its number one concern?

OK, this is (in part) a rhetorical question. We all know that the impeding “fiscal cliff” is driving this immediate concern, though the “fiscal cliff” itself is in large part a direct product of the misguided fiscal “deficit hysteria” that has gripped Washington.1 The question now is what to do about it.

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